Rasmussen, a polling firm generally viewed as having a Republican bias, follows a poll yesterday with a narrow edge for Mark Pryor in the race for the U.S. Senate with a poll showing Democrat Mike Ross leading Republican Asa Hutchinson in the race for governor 46-44.
This appears to be from the same sample Monday and Tuesday of 750 likely Arkansas voters. Non-subscribers don’t have access yet to full internals on this poll. It showed three percent for another candidate and 7 percent undecided. It’s a departure from recent polling which has tended to show Hutchinson with a lead, though always with numbers in the 40s. It’s a 9-point shift for Rasmussen. Negative ads against Asa working? Positive ads such as the one above introducing more Arkansans to the former 4th District congressman? Bad poll? Nov. 4 will tell.
I wonder how those numbers would have looked had the likely voters been aware of the facts of Asa’s record as U.S. drug czar and not the spin Chris Christie put out yesterday about Hutchinson’s leadership. He flew Lear jets around and took a lot of meetings, but the Bush administration itself acknowledged that drug use went up during his tenure and dropped after. A good account here. But, the Democratic Party also reminds, he even got busted by John Stossel, nobody’s idea of a liberal, when he took credit for a drop in drug use that actually occurred years before he became DEA chief and then held study during his tenure.